Working Papers 2003
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RESEARCH PAPER NO. 869

THE IMPACT OF SHORT SELLING ON THE PRICE-VOLUME RELATIONSHIP: EVIDENCE FROM HONG KONG

BY

OLAN T. HENRY & MICHAEL McKENZIE

JANUARY 2003

Department of Economics. University of Melbourne. Melbourne Victoria 3010 Australia

This paper considers the relationship between traded volume and volatility.  We employ short sales data to discriminate between transactions that close existing long positions and transactions that establish new short positions.  We test for, and where appropriate, incorporate non-linearity and asymmetry into the modelling process.  The evidence supports a non-linear, bi-directional relationship between volume and volatility.  The results suggest (i) that the market displays greater volatility following a period of short selling and (ii) that asymmetric responses to positive and negative innovations to returns appear to be exacerbated by short selling.

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