Research Paper No. 667

STRATEGIC ADVANCE PRODUCTION WITHOUT STACKELBERG LEADERSHIP

by

Sougata Poddar & Dan Sasaki

December 1998

Department of Economics. University of Melbourne. Parkville Victoria 3052 Australia

ABSTRACT

Advance production serves as a means of quantity commitment. Therefore, an oligopolist firm may have an incentive to invest in advance production in order to pre-empt its opponent(s), even when [i] it is technologically more costly than on-spot production, and [ii] it does not entitle the firm to Stackelberg leadership in the subsequent marketing stage. This paper shows that such pre-emption acts as strategic substitutes between oligopolists. Namely,in a pure strategy subgame perfect equilibrium, some but not all firms may engage in advance production, whether the firms are a a priori symmetric or not. We also show that a firm's incentive for advance production arises only if has a quantity-setting opponent, irrespective of the firm's own strategic variable (i.e., price or quantity) and the charactertistics of the concerned products (i.e., substitutes or complements).

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